Artificial Intelligence Forecasting, Inc., DBA AI Futures Project is a 501(c)(3) nonprofit research organization (EIN 99-4320292). We are funded entirely by charitable donations and grants.

Contact

You can reach us at info@ai-futures.org or [firstname]@ai-futures.org. We look forward to hearing from you.

Team

Daniel Kokotajlo, Executive Director: Daniel oversees our research and policy recommendations. He previously worked as a governance researcher at OpenAI on scenario planning. When he left OpenAI, he called for better transparency of top AI companies. In 2021, he wrote What 2026 Looks Like, an article similar to our current report.

Eli Lifland, Researcher: Eli works on scenario forecasting and specializes in forecasting AI capabilities. He also co-founded and advises Sage, which builds interactive AI explainers. He previously worked on Elicit, an AI-powered research assistant, and co-created TextAttack, a Python framework for adversarial examples in text. He placed first on the RAND Forecasting Initiative all-time leaderboard.

Thomas Larsen, Researcher: Thomas works on scenario forecasting and focuses on understanding the goals and real-world impacts of AI agents. He previously founded the Center for AI Policy, an AI safety advocacy organization, and worked on AI safety research at the Machine Intelligence Research Institute.