The AI Futures Project is a small research group forecasting the future of AI, funded by charitable donations and grants. (More about us.)

Our work includes:

• AI 2027. Daniel Kokotajlo, Scott Alexander, Thomas Larsen, Eli Lifland, Romeo Dean. April 3, 2025.
• Compute Forecast. Romeo Dean. April 3, 2025.
• Timelines Forecast. Nikola Jurkovic, Eli Lifland. April 3, 2025.
• Takeoff Forecast. Daniel Kokotajlo, Eli Lifland. April 3, 2025.
• AI Goals Forecast. Daniel Kokotajlo. April 3, 2025.
• Security Forecast. Romeo Dean. April 3, 2025.
• 4 Ways to Advance Transparency in Frontier AI Development. Dean Ball & Daniel Kokotajlo. Time, October 15, 2024.
• Our Tabletop Exercise, which we’ve facilitated for 200+ people, including experts and policymakers.

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